## Computable prediction

News

Title
Computable prediction

Type
Conference paper

Publication
Miyabe K. (2019) Computable Prediction. In: Hammer P., Agrawal P., Goertzel B., Iklé M. (eds) Artificial General Intelligence. AGI 2019. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 11654. Springer, Cham
DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-27005-6_14

Abstract
We try to predict the next bit from a given finite binary string
when the sequence is sampled from a computable probability measure on the Cantor space.
There exists the best betting strategy among a class of effective ones up to a multiplicative constant,
the induced prediction from which is called algorithmic probability or universal induction by Solomonoff.
The prediction converges to the true induced measure for sufficiently random sequences.
However, the prediction is not computable.

We propose a framework to study the properties of computable predictions.
We prove that all sufficiently general computable predictions also converge to the true induced measure.
The class of sequences along which the prediction converges is related to computable randomness.

We also discuss the speed of the convergence.
We prove that, even when a computable prediction predicts a computable sequence,
the speed of the convergence cannot be bounded by a computable function monotonically decreasing to $0$.

preprint
slide

## Uniform relativization

News
19 June 2019, Online

Title
Uniform relativization

Type
Conference survey paper

Publication
In: Manea F., Martin B., Paulusma D., Primiero G. (eds) Computing with Foresight and Industry. CiE 2019. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 11558. Springer, Cham

Abstract
This paper is a tutorial on uniform relativization. The usual relativization considers computation using an oracle, and the computation may not work for other oracles, which is similar to Turing reduction. The uniform relativization also considers computation using oracles, however, the computation should work for all oracles, which is similar to truth-table reduction. The distinction between these relativizations is important when we relativize randomness notions in algorithmic randomness, especially Schnorr randomness. For Martin-Löf randomness, its usual relativization and uniform relativization are the same so we do not need to care about this uniform relativization.

We focus on two specific examples of uniform relativization: van Lambalgen’s theorem and lowness. Van Lambalgen’s theorem holds for Schnorr randomness with the uniform relativization, but not with the usual relativization. Schnorr triviality is equivalent to lowness for Schnorr randomness with the uniform relativization, but not with the usual relativization. We also discuss some related known results.

preprint
slide

## Erdos-Feller-Kolmogorov-Petrowsky law of the iterated logarithm for self-normalized martingales: a game-theoretic approach

News
May 4, 2018. Accepted by AOP

Title
Erdos-Feller-Kolmogorov-Petrowsky law of the iterated logarithm for self-normalized martingales: a game-theoretic approach
(with T. Sasai and A. Takemura)

Type
Full paper

Journal
Annals of Probability,
Annals of Probability, Vol. 47, No. 2, 1136-1161, March 2019.

Abstract
We prove an Erdos-Feller-Kolmogorov-Petrowsky law of the iterated logarithm for self-normalized martingales. Our proof is given in the framework of the game-theoretic probability of Shafer and Vovk. As many other game-theoretic proofs, our proof is self-contained and explicit.

arXiv

## Muchnik degrees and Medvedev degrees of the randomness notions

News
Sep 2018, accepted
11 Mar 2018, submitted to a Journal

Title
Muchnik degrees and Medvedev degrees of the randomness notions

Type
Research paper

Publication
The joint post-proceedings for ALC2015 and ALC2017 published via World Scientific

Proceedings of the 14th and 15th Asian Logic Conferences, pp. 108-128 (2019) January

Abstract
The main theme of this paper is computational power when a machine is allowed to access random sets.
The computability depends on the randomness notions and we compare them by Muchnik and Medvedev degrees.
The central question is whether, given an random oracle, one can compute a more random set.
The main result is that, for each Turing functional,
there exists a Schnorr random set whose output is not computably random.

Muchnikdegrees

## Coherence of reducibilities with randomness notions

News
1 Feb 2016, accepted by TOCS

Title
Coherence of reducibilities with randomness notions

Type
Full paper

Journal
Theory of Computing Systems – October 2018, Volume 62, Issue 7, pp 1599–1619
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00224-017-9752-2

Abstract
Loosely speaking, when $A$ is “more random” than $B$ and $B$ is “random”,
then $A$ should be random.
The theory of algorithmic randomness has some formulations of “random” sets
and “more random” sets.
In this paper, we study which pairs $(R,r)$ of randomness notions $R$
and reducibilities $r$ have the follwing property:
if $A$ is $r$-reducible to $B$ and $A$ is $R$-random,
then $B$ should be $R$-random.
The answer depends on the notions $R$ and $r$.
The implications hold for most pairs, but not for some.
We also give characterizations of $n$-randomness via complexity.